Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

We’re Confident Thunder Will Get Job Done

No. 4 Denver Nuggets (50-32, 24-17 Away) play No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 35-6 at Home) in game 1 of this NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinal matchup at Paycom Center.

Our best prediction is that the Thunder will have the edge over the Nuggets. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at 1.89, with the -9.5 line offering plenty of appeal.

140-127 Victory for Nuggets in Pair’s Previous H2H

Denver Nuggets claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 120-101 win occurred against LA Clippers at Ball Arena. Aaron Gordon scored 22 points, with Christian Braun getting 21 and Russell Westbrook 16.

Oklahoma City Thunder have triumphed in their last eight games. The latest of these was on the road where Memphis Grizzlies were beaten 117-115 at FedExForum. On the points front, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 38, Jalen Williams 23 and Isaiah Joe 11.

These two teams last met at Paycom Center, with the Nuggets claiming the win. Beating the Thunder by a 140-127 scoreline. The Thunder have triumphed in six of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Nuggets have 7 wins and 3 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 112.1 points, 44.7 rebounds, 26.2 assists, 7.7 steals and 4.0 blocks while shooting 48.7% from the field and 75.3% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 109.4 points and 40.2 rebounds per matchup.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 23.2 points, 11.6 rebounds and 10.2 assists, while Michael Porter Jr. averages 2.2 (44.0%) 3-pointers made.

The Thunder have won 8 and lost 2 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 121.1 points, 43.9 rebounds, 25.5 assists, 9.9 steals and 5.1 blocks per game while shooting 47.5% from the field and 79.3% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 109.6 points and 45.5 rebounds.

Jalen Williams is averaging 20.1 points, Isaiah Hartenstein 6.3 rebounds and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 4.7 assists, while Isaiah Joe has an average of 2.4 (42.9%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Expert NBA Analysis

The latest team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing basketball picks. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we can make the best NBA predictions.

Key Nuggets vs Thunder stats:

• The -9.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -9.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 3 consecutive games at home.

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

Get with OKC Thunder with a -9.5 spread. We like this pick and are backing the favorites at odds of 1.89 to enjoy a solid victory in this NBA showdown.

There are lots of ways to back the Thunder and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.

Thunder -9.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Our Pick

Thunder -9.5 @ 1.89 Bet Now

bet365 Promo Up to €100 in Bet Credits Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Props

Jamal Murray Over 4.5 Rebounds 2.23

Jamal Murray (Nuggets) has covered the 4.5 rebounds total in 4 straight games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Rebounds and you can get 2.23 that he goes over the line.

Latest Jamal Murray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

1.85

Under 19.5

1.88

Assists

Over 5.5

1.79

Under 5.5

1.95

Rebounds

Over 4.5

2.16

Under 4.5

1.65

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 32.5 Points 1.87

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has totaled an average of 27.75 points in the past 4 games. There’s every reason to expect a similar outcome here and he’s available at odds of 1.87 to go below the line.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 32.5

1.87

Under 32.5

1.87

Assists

Over 6.5

1.94

Under 6.5

1.80

Rebounds

Over 4.5

1.83

Under 4.5

1.91

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Nuggets 103 - 115 Thunder

The Thunder might get the upper hand and it might be worth backing them to achieve a specific correct score. Try an outcome of 115-103 for a big possible return from your stake.

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Thunder Big Favorites

Oklahoma City Thunder are massive 1.22 favorites. They are regarded as 82% likely to win this NBA game judging by the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds. Denver Nuggets are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at 4.60.

The spread is calculated to be 10.5, while total points comes in at 229.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those expecting a low total can back Under 229.5 at 1.91.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless and it’s great to have so many alternatives.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Nuggets

4.60

Thunder

1.22

Point Spread

Nuggets +10.5

1.89

Thunder -10.5

1.93

Total Points

Under 229.5

1.91

Over 229.5

1.91

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back 1.87 that he gets Over 32.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at the same odds.

Player Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 32.5

1.87

Under 32.5

1.87

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 26.5

1.82

Under 26.5

1.92

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 21.5

1.85

Under 21.5

1.88

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 19.5

1.85

Under 19.5

1.88

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 16.5

1.80

Under 16.5

1.94

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 15.5

1.83

Under 15.5

1.92

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

1.89

Under 12.5

1.83

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

1.96

Under 12.5

1.78

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

1.81

Under 10.5

1.93

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 9.5

1.80

Under 9.5

1.93

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 9.5

1.82

Under 9.5

1.92

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 7.5

1.97

Under 7.5

1.77

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 5.5

1.71

Under 5.5

2.08

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 5.5

1.85

Under 5.5

1.88

Player Assists

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

1.93

Under 9.5

1.81

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

1.94

Under 6.5

1.80

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

2.12

Under 5.5

1.67

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.79

Under 5.5

1.95

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

1.74

Under 3.5

2.02

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

2.14

Under 3.5

1.66

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

1.75

Under 2.5

2.00

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

1.97

Under 2.5

1.80

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.68

Under 2.5

2.13

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

1.70

Under 1.5

2.08

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 1.5

1.54

Under 1.5

2.40

Player Rebounds

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

1.85

Under 12.5

1.89

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

1.94

Under 8.5

1.80

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 8.5

1.72

Under 8.5

2.04

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

2.15

Under 5.5

1.66

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.66

Under 5.5

2.14

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

2.00

Under 5.5

1.76

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

2.06

Under 5.5

1.71

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

1.83

Under 4.5

1.91

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

2.16

Under 4.5

1.65

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

1.83

Under 4.5

1.89

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

1.65

Under 3.5

2.16

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 3.5

2.06

Under 3.5

1.71

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 2.5

2.18

Under 2.5

1.64

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 1.5

1.65

Under 1.5

2.18

Micro Betting

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, basketball micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to wager on the Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

Next Predictions

17:00 - Sun 29 Jun J1 League Tokyo Verdy Kawasaki Frontale Betting Tips 17:00 - Sun 29 Jun J1 League Albirex Niigata Machida Zelvia Betting Tips 18:00 - Sun 29 Jun K League 1 Ulsan HD Daegu Betting Tips 18:00 - Sun 29 Jun K League 1 FC Seoul Pohang Steelers Betting Tips 18:30 - Sun 29 Jun Chinese Super League Qingdao West Coast Qingdao Hainiu Betting Tips 18:30 - Sun 29 Jun Chinese Super League Changchun Yatai Shanghai Shenhua Betting Tips