Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Jul 2025

Go Under 165 as Your Best Bet

Don’t expect fireworks in this contest. The Aces and the Liberty might not score a huge combined total and our prediction is to back Under 165 points at odds of 1.91.

Liberty Have Claimed 8 Wins in 10 on H2H

Las Vegas Aces triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Connecticut Sun were beaten 86-68 at Mohegan Sun Arena.

New York Liberty were beaten 79-70 at Barclays Center in their last game, being turned over at home to Seattle Storm.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Liberty have claimed back-to-back victories over the Aces. At Michelob Ultra Arena they won 76-62 before winning 92-78 at Barclays Center. It’s been eight Liberty wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W

View Full Standings

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

In our opinion, the teams are unlikely to reach the 165 points line. Therefore, chance an Under bet at 1.91 and hope the number isn’t reached in this WNBA contest.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together WNBA forecasts. Once we’ve also looked at the form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Aces vs Liberty stats:

• The 165 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Aces games on the road.
• The 165 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Aces games on the road.
• The 165 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Aces games.
• The 165 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Liberty games at home.
• The 165 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Liberty games at home.

Under 165 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 52.4% prospect of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

More juice from your Unders bet can be found by combining this selection on the Match Result & Total lines. Choose the odds which match your prediction.

Best Bet

Stake Promo 200% up to $2000 + 5% Rakeback T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Aces 75 - 85 Liberty

For those wanting a big return from a small stake, consider the correct score lines. For example, the Liberty can be backed to win 85-75 at massive betting odds.

Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Liberty Likely to Win According to Latest Odds

With a 64% chance of securing victory, New York Liberty are favorites for this WNBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of 1.57. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Las Vegas Aces are trading at 2.42.

The current spread is 3.5 and the total points line is 165.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. Those that want to back Under 165.5 can find odds of 1.91 available.

You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every contest, with the betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

A'ja Wilson Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

A'ja Wilson is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can back 1.86 that she gets Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at 1.90.

Micro Betting

There are always opportunities to enjoy micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and basketball bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as if the next shot will be a Two or Three-Pointer.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 157.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.40 pts and allowed 79.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 76.00 pts and allowed 81.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 169.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 157.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 83.10 pts and allowed 85.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 73.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W