Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Sep 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Sparks vs Mercury

The Los Angeles Sparks square off against the Phoenix Mercury in this WNBA matchup at PHX Arena, with tip-off scheduled for 10:00 on Wednesday 10 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

Get With Mercury to Cover the Line

We’re backing the Mercury against the spread when they clash with the Sparks. It could be shrewd to bet on them to cover the appealing -8 line, with odds of 1.91 on offer.

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Mercury Are 8 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Los Angeles Sparks won their previous game which was at home. It was a 91-77 triumph at Crypto.com Arena against Dallas Wings.

Phoenix Mercury were beaten last game and this was on the road at Mohegan Sun Arena. Connecticut Sun claimed a 87-84 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 92-84 in favor of the Mercury when they last played the Sparks, with the matchup taking place at Crypto.com Arena. The Mercury have racked up seven straight victories over the Sparks. On the head-to-head front, they have won 8 of the past 10.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L

View Full Standings

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

We dive into the best Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury betting angles, including an expert match prediction, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s time to go for Mercury against the spread, especially with an attractive -8 line at 1.91. Our pick is that the favorites can achieve a comfortable win in this WNBA matchup.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant WNBA stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball predictions.

Key Sparks vs Mercury stats:

• The +8 line hasn’t been covered by Sparks in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +8 line hasn’t been covered by Sparks in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Mercury -8 Probability

According to the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are options to buy and sell different amounts of points and effectively choose the line which makes the most appeal. It all comes down to how safe or risky you want to play things.

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Player Prop Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Sparks 78 - 89 Mercury

If you want to take a chance on a correct score, then the Mercury to enjoy a 89-78 victory could be along the right lines. There are enormous odds for this particular outcome.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Running Scared of Mercury Win

For this WNBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Phoenix Mercury are 1.31 favorites to win and that means a 76% chance of landing a victory. Los Angeles Sparks are the underdogs at 3.50 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

There is a spread of 7 and total points has a line of 172. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. Those who wager Under 172 can get 1.91.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every women's basketball contest, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Kelsey Plum Favorite to Score the Most Points

Kelsey Plum is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back 1.88 that she gets Over 18.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at the same odds.

Micro Betting

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Sparks Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +8 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -8 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 181.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 172: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 172 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 84.60 pts and allowed 86.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 89.60 pts and allowed 91.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 155.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 172: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 172 at Home: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 78.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 74.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W