Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds

Thunder to Dominate Nuggets

No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14, 32-8 Away) play No. 4 Denver Nuggets (50-32, 26-15 at Home) in game 3 of this NBA Playoffs Western Conference Semifinal matchup at Ball Arena, with the series being tied 1-1.

Our pick is that the Thunder will gain the upper hand against the Nuggets. This leads us to backing them against the spread at 1.91, with the -5 line offering lots of appeal.

Thunder Won Previous H2H Clash

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets clashed two nights ago and it was the Thunder who claimed a 149-106 win at Paycom Center.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 34 points for the Thunder, Jalen Williams bagged 17, while Chet Holmgren registered 15 points and 11 rebounds. For the Nuggets, Russell Westbrook recorded 19 points, Nikola Jokic 17 and Jamal Murray 14.

The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Thunder victories.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

View Full Standings

The Thunder have 9 wins and 1 loss in the past 10 games. They are averaging 126.9 points, 45.9 rebounds, 26.9 assists, 10.7 steals and 6.1 blocks while shooting 48.0% from the field and 80.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 107.2 points and 46.5 rebounds per matchup.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 22.0 points and 4.6 assists, while Isaiah Hartenstein averages 6.7 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.6 (44.1%) 3-pointers made.

The Nuggets have won 6 and lost 4 of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 110.7 points, 45.1 rebounds, 23.6 assists, 7.1 steals and 4.4 blocks per game while shooting 47.1% from the field and 75.6% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 113.7 points and 40.8 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 9.0 assists, while Jamal Murray has an average of 2.5 (39.7%) 3-pointers made.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder lineup: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein.

Denver Nuggets lineup: Christian Braun, Michael Porter Jr., Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon.

Expert NBA Analysis

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the NBA betting lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while some key stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Thunder vs Nuggets stats:

• The -5 line has been covered by Thunder in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -5 line has been covered by Thunder in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.

Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction

Bank on OKC Thunder to cover the -5 line on the spread. This is a great number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at 1.91 for this NBA showdown.

If you’re hunting for larger odds and feel confident your selection is going to perform well, then consider moving the line and land a bigger potential return.

Thunder -5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Our Pick

Thunder -5 @ 1.91 Bet Now

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Player Props

Nikola Jokic Under 28.5 Points 1.83

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) has recorded an average of 22 points in the past 5 home games. We are therefore keen to back the 1.83 that he fails to cover this total when it comes to Player Points.

Latest Nikola Jokic Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 28.5

1.92

Under 28.5

1.82

Assists

Over 9.5

2.08

Under 9.5

1.70

Rebounds

Over 13.5

1.85

Under 13.5

1.88

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 32.5 Points 1.92

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) has had Over 32.5 points in 3 straight games. We will therefore place a bet that he is able to cover the line for this Player Points wager which is available at odds of 1.92.

Latest Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 32.5

1.92

Under 32.5

1.83

Assists

Over 7.5

2.12

Under 7.5

1.68

Rebounds

Over 4.5

1.68

Under 4.5

2.10

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Correct Score Prediction

Thunder 118 - 108 Nuggets

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. The Thunder to claim a 118-108 victory is available at huge odds.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Giving Thunder Plenty of Respect

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Oklahoma City Thunder as 1.42 favorites for this NBA game, implying that they are 70% likely to win. At 2.98, Denver Nuggets are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is 5.5 and the total points line is currently 232. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 232, this outcome can be backed at 1.89.

If you’re planning to place a basketball bet, visit the betting sites and check out the wide range of game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Thunder

1.42

Nuggets

2.98

Point Spread

Thunder -5.5

1.88

Nuggets +5.5

1.94

Total Points

Under 232

1.89

Over 232

1.93

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can get 1.92 that he scores Over 32.5 points or 1.83 that he goes Under.

Player Points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 32.5

1.92

Under 32.5

1.83

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 28.5

1.92

Under 28.5

1.82

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 21.5

1.79

Under 21.5

1.94

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 20.5

1.82

Under 20.5

1.92

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 16.5

1.83

Under 16.5

1.89

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 15.5

1.82

Under 15.5

1.92

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

1.77

Under 13.5

1.97

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

1.93

Under 12.5

1.82

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 11.5

1.92

Under 11.5

1.83

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 10.5

1.82

Under 10.5

1.92

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 9.5

1.80

Under 9.5

1.94

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 7.5

1.82

Under 7.5

1.93

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 4.5

1.68

Under 4.5

2.08

Player Assists

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 9.5

2.08

Under 9.5

1.70

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 7.5

2.12

Under 7.5

1.68

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.80

Under 5.5

1.93

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

1.71

Under 4.5

2.06

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

1.72

Under 3.5

2.06

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

2.36

Under 3.5

1.56

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 3.5

2.18

Under 3.5

1.63

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

1.97

Under 2.5

1.76

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 2.5

1.66

Under 2.5

2.14

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

1.68

Under 1.5

2.10

Player Rebounds

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 13.5

1.85

Under 13.5

1.88

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

1.92

Under 8.5

1.82

Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder)

Over 8.5

1.79

Under 8.5

1.95

Aaron Gordon (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

2.06

Under 6.5

1.71

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

2.08

Under 5.5

1.70

Christian Braun (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

1.83

Under 5.5

1.91

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 4.5

1.68

Under 4.5

2.10

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

2.00

Under 4.5

1.76

Russell Westbrook (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

1.83

Under 4.5

1.89

Michael Porter Jr (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

1.68

Under 4.5

2.12

Luguentz Dort (Thunder)

Over 3.5

2.12

Under 3.5

1.67

Alex Caruso (Thunder)

Over 3.5

2.20

Under 3.5

1.62

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Denver Nuggets Confirmed Lineup

0 Christian Braun

1 Michael Porter Jr.

15 Nikola Jokic

27 Jamal Murray

32 Aaron Gordon

Oklahoma City Thunder Confirmed Lineup

2 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

5 Luguentz Dort

7 Chet Holmgren

8 Jalen Williams

55 Isaiah Hartenstein

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Hawks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Celtics	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Hornets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bulls	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Mavericks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Nuggets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pistons	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Warriors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Rockets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pacers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Clippers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Lakers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Grizzlies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Heat	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Bucks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Timberwolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Pelicans	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Knicks	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Thunder	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Magic	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
76ers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Suns	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Trail Blazers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Raptors	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-
Wizards	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	0-0	-	-

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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