Ecuador vs Brazil Prediction, Lineups & Odds

Ecuador Should Be Able to Cover the Line

Ecuador +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Brazil the desired outcome at betting odds of 1.95.

Brazil 1-0 Winners When Teams Last Met

Ecuador drew on the road in their last game. A 0-0 World Cup qualifying scoreline was played out against Chile. La Tri had 40% possession and recorded two shots on target.

Brazil lost their previous game 4-1. This was an away World Cup qualifying defeat against Argentina. Carlo Ancelotti's side had 44% of possession and one shot on goal, while Matheus Cunha found the net.

Brazil have not lost any of the past four games against Ecuador. In their last encounter, it was a 1-0 home victory for Brazil. The past 4 H2H matches have included two Brazil wins along with two draws.

South America World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Ecuador	16	7	7	2	13	5	8	13:5	25
3	Brazil	16	7	4	5	21	16	5	21:16	25

View Full Table

Ecuador have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. Sebastian Beccacece's team have averaged 54.4% possession and 4.7 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.7 goals from 3.0 shots on goal, 8.7 attempts and 3.0 corners.

Enner Valencia is the top scorer with 5 goals, Gonzalo Plata has 2, with Alan Minda and Kevin Rodriguez on 1. Pedro Vite, Alan Franco and Enner Valencia are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Alexander Dominguez has kept one clean sheet.

Brazil have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.5 goals from 8.7 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. Seleção average 58.5% possession, 4.7 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while conceding 1.4 goals from 7.5 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal.

Raphinha is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Luiz Henrique on 2, with Matheus Cunha and two others bagging 1. Raphinha, Luiz Henrique and Igor Jesus have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Ecuador confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Gonzalo Valle (GK), Joel Ordonez, Willian Pacho, Piero Hincapie, Pervis Estupinan, Nilson Angulo, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Vite, Alan Minda, John Yeboah, Alan Franco.

Brazil confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Alisson Becker (GK), Vanderson, Marquinhos, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Alex Sandro, Bruno Guimaraes, Casemiro, Gerson, Estevao, Richarlison, Vinicius Junior.

Expert World Cup qualifying Analysis

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest stats.

Key Ecuador vs Brazil stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Ecuador in 7 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Ecuador in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Ecuador in 10 of their last 12 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Brazil in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Brazil in 4 of their last 6 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Brazil in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Ecuador vs Brazil Prediction

When Ecuador line up for this World Cup qualifying game, we will back them at 1.95 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Ecuador to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Ecuador +0.25 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Our Pick

Ecuador Asian Hcp +0.25 @ 1.95 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Ecuador 1 - 0 Brazil

There could be merit in backing Ecuador to win 1-0. Odds of 8.00 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Props

Enner Valencia Over 0.5 Shots On Target 1.62

Enner Valencia (Ecuador) has had at least one shot on goal in two of his past four games. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of 1.62 available.

Latest Enner Valencia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

4.10

First

6.75

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

1.53

Under 0.5

2.02

Shots

Over 2.5

2.33

Under 2.5

-

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Gonzalo Plata to Score 5.40

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador) has netted two goals in his past six games. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at 5.40 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Gonzalo Plata Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

6.75

First

12.50

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

2.48

Under 0.5

1.34

Shots

Over 0.5

1.40

Under 0.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Brazil Under 4.5 Corners 1.91

In their past three games, Brazil have not covered the 4.5 corners line, while the previous four Ecuador home matches have involved them conceding under 4.5 corners. We’re anticipating Brazil to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners wager available at 1.91.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Ecuador

Total

7.70 4.70 3.00

Home

9.67 6.50 3.17

Away

7.00 3.00 4.00

Brazil

Total

8.20 4.70 3.50

Home

7.67 5.50 2.17

Away

9.33 4.83 4.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

1.83

Under 8.5

1.83

Ecuador Corners

Over 3.5

1.83

Under 3.5

1.83

Brazil Corners

Over 4.5

1.83

Under 4.5

1.83

Most Corners

1

2.80

X

6.40

2

1.50

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Ecuador vs Brazil Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think Brazil Most Likely to Win

Favourites Brazil are regarded as the likeliest winners for this World Cup qualifying clash. The 2.10 about them triumphing means a 48% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. The market implies that Ecuador are the most unlikely to win at 3.90.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Brazil can be backed at 1.44 or alternatively Ecuador are on offer at 2.63.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. A viable alternative is betting the BTTS market and opting for the 1.57 about Both Teams to Score No.

If you head to the top football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to World Cup qualifying games. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

3.90

X

3.00

2

2.10

Half-Time Result

1

4.75

X

1.91

2

2.88

Double Chance

1X

1.70

12

1.36

X2

1.25

Draw No Bet

1

2.63

2

1.44

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

2.03

2 Hcp -0.25

1.78

Total Goals

Under 2.5

1.40

Over 2.5

2.88

Both Teams to Score

Yes

2.25

No

1.57

Vinicius Junior Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Vinicius Junior can be backed to find the net anytime at 3.35. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at 5.30.

Player Goals

Vinicius Junior (Brazil)

First

5.30

Anytime

3.35

Matheus Cunha (Brazil)

First

6.75

Anytime

4.00

Enner Valencia (Ecuador)

First

6.75

Anytime

4.10

Carlos Augusto (Brazil)

First

6.75

Anytime

4.10

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Brazil)

First

7.50

Anytime

4.40

Antony Matheus dos Santos (Brazil)

First

7.50

Anytime

4.50

Gabriel Martinelli (Brazil)

First

9.00

Anytime

5.10

Kevin Rodríguez (Ecuador)

First

9.50

Anytime

5.40

John Mercado (Ecuador)

First

11.50

Anytime

6.40

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador)

First

12.50

Anytime

6.75

Andreas Pereira (Brazil)

First

11.50

Anytime

6.75

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Brazil)

First

12.50

Anytime

7.00

Pedro Vite (Ecuador)

First

13.00

Anytime

7.50

Carlos Casemiro (Brazil)

First

15.00

Anytime

8.00

Gerson Santos da Silva (Brazil)

First

15.00

Anytime

8.00

John Yeboah (Ecuador)

First

14.00

Anytime

8.50

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Brazil)

First

16.00

Anytime

9.00

Bruno Guimarães (Brazil)

First

18.00

Anytime

10.00

Kendry Páez (Ecuador)

First

18.00

Anytime

10.00

Yaimar Medina (Ecuador)

First

20.00

Anytime

11.00

Félix Torres (Ecuador)

First

23.00

Anytime

13.00

Player Shots On Target

Vinicius Junior (Brazil)

Over 0.5

1.52

Under 0.5

2.04

Enner Valencia (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

1.53

Under 0.5

2.02

Matheus Cunha (Brazil)

Over 0.5

1.58

Under 0.5

1.93

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Brazil)

Over 0.5

1.81

Under 0.5

1.67

Antony Matheus dos Santos (Brazil)

Over 0.5

1.88

Under 0.5

1.62

Gabriel Martinelli (Brazil)

Over 0.5

1.95

Under 0.5

1.57

Kevin Rodríguez (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

2.17

Under 0.5

1.45

John Mercado (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

2.38

Under 0.5

1.37

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

2.48

Under 0.5

1.34

Andreas Pereira (Brazil)

Over 0.5

2.55

Under 0.5

1.32

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Brazil)

Over 0.5

2.70

Under 0.5

1.28

Pedro Vite (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

2.80

Under 0.5

1.26

Carlos Casemiro (Brazil)

Over 0.5

2.95

Under 0.5

1.24

John Yeboah (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

3.00

Under 0.5

1.23

Gerson Santos da Silva (Brazil)

Over 0.5

3.25

Under 0.5

1.19

Kendry Páez (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

3.30

Under 0.5

1.18

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Brazil)

Over 0.5

3.40

Under 0.5

1.17

Carlos Augusto (Brazil)

Over 0.5

3.65

Under 0.5

1.14

Félix Torres (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

4.60

Under 0.5

1.07

Player Shots

Vinicius Junior (Brazil)

Over 2.5

1.75

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Cunha (Brazil)

Over 2.5

2.43

Under 2.5

-

Enner Valencia (Ecuador)

Over 2.5

2.33

Under 2.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Brazil)

Over 1.5

1.61

Under 1.5

-

Antony Matheus dos Santos (Brazil)

Over 1.5

1.92

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Brazil)

Over 1.5

2.08

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Rodríguez (Ecuador)

Over 1.5

2.15

Under 1.5

-

John Mercado (Ecuador)

Over 1.5

2.43

Under 1.5

-

Kendry Páez (Ecuador)

Over 1.5

2.33

Under 1.5

-

Gonzalo Plata (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

1.40

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Pereira (Brazil)

Over 0.5

1.43

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Vite (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

1.47

Under 0.5

-

John Yeboah (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

1.52

Under 0.5

-

Félix Torres (Ecuador)

Over 0.5

2.30

Under 0.5

-

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Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Team News

Make sure you know the Ecuador vs Brazil team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the information when we have it.

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