Toluca vs Atlas Prediction, Lineups & Odds
We’re Expecting the Net to Bulge Several Times
We can’t pass up the chance to back Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market, with Toluca and Atlas set to score a combined three goals or more. Take odds of 1.67 that this outcome happens.
4-1 Triumph for Deportivo Toluca in Last H2H
Toluca have enjoyed four consecutive home wins. In their last game, they lost 2-0 away to Santos Laguna at Estadio Nuevo Corona. Despite enjoying 62% possession, they were unable to manage a single shot on target.
Atlas suffered a second straight defeat when losing 1-0 in their previous game. This was at home to Querétaro at Estadio Jalisco. They dominated possession with 71% of the ball and had three shots on goal.
Deportivo Toluca triumphed 4-1 when they last played Atlas. This head-to-head was played at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Looking back to the previous 10 H2H meetings, there has been four draws. Deportivo Toluca have won four games and Atlas two.
Liga MX | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | ![]() |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. Deportivo Toluca have had 49.2% possession and 6.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 4.8 corners.
Paulinho is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Alexis Vega, Jesus Angulo and Jesus Gallardo each have 2. Paulinho is the leading assists maker with 3.
Atlas – Last 10 League GamesAtlas have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 7.0 attempts, 2.7 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. They average 48.1% possession, 4.5 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts.
Eduardo Aguirre has landed 3 goals, Jeremy Marquez 2, with Victor Rios and two others scoring 1. Raymundo Fulgencio and Jose Lozano have been the top assists providers with 2 in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Toluca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tiago Volpi (GK), Brian Garcia, Bruno Mendez, Luan Garcia, Jesus Gallardo, Claudio Baeza, Marcel Ruiz, Helio Junio, Alexis Vega, Isaias Violante, Paulinho.
Atlas confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Camilo Vargas (GK), Edgar Zaldivar, Martin Hugo Nervo, Matheus Doria, Luis Reyes, Jeremy Marquez, Aldo Rocha, Jhon Murillo, Raymundo Fulgencio, Rivaldo Lozano, Eduardo Aguirre.
Expert Liga MX Analysis
Team news plays a valuable role and we’re always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.
Key Toluca vs Atlas league stats:
Toluca vs Atlas Prediction
Let’s play Over 2.5 goals to be scored at tasty odds of 1.67 for this Liga MX showdown. There’s every chance that the two sides will deliver a return and we think this is a value wager.
If you’re expecting goals to be on the cards, you can include Over 2.5 Goals along with BTTS Yes. It’s a good chance to boost your price and this is available in the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market.
Over 2.5 Probability
According to the odds, there’s a 60% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
Our Pick
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67
Correct Score Prediction
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Deportivo Toluca to win 4-1. We can’t pass up the odds of 15.00 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Toluca vs Atlas Odds
For this Liga MX match, the leading bookies’ betting odds mean Toluca are the 1.57 favourite to win and that means a 64% chance of winning. Atlas are the 5.75 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.
A high-scoring match is a possibility and that is reflected in the Over 2.5 Goals odds.
If you fancy Deportivo Toluca but want money back if this Liga MX match is a draw, then you can get 1.18. You can bet on Atlas at 4.50 on the Draw No Bet market.







Best Betting Offers
Toluca
Head to Head
Toluca vs Atlas
- Liga MX: 07/04 2024 Toluca 4 Atlas 1
- Liga MX: 27/08 2023 Atlas 0 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 02/02 2023 Atlas 0 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 10/07 2022 Toluca 3 Atlas 2
- Liga MX: 24/04 2022 Toluca 2 Atlas 4
- Liga MX: 22/08 2021 Atlas 0 Toluca 0
- Liga MX: 28/02 2021 Toluca 0 Atlas 0
- Liga MX: 14/08 2020 Atlas 1 Toluca 2
- Liga MX: 15/03 2020 Toluca 2 Atlas 3
- Copa MX: 29/01 2020 Toluca 8 Atlas 5
Team Stats
Toluca League Stats
Atlas League Stats
Full-Time Result
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 49.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 48.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Toluca vs Atlas team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.
We’ve got details of the Liga MX squads so that you know every player on the roster.
Toluca vs Atlas Lineups
Deportivo Toluca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlas Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Atlas Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Deportivo Toluca Substitutes
- 6Federico Pereira
- 7Juan Dominguez
- 8Carlos Orrantia
- 10Jesus Angulo
- 19Ivan Lopez
- 22Luis Garcia
- 24Frankie Amaya
- 30Anderson Duarte
- 198Victor Arteaga
- 217Klever Castillo
Atlas Substitutes
- 1Jose Hernandez
- 3Idekel Dominguez
- 4Adrian Mora
- 8M. Ezequiel Garcia
- 13Gaddi Aguirre
- 32Uros Djurdjevic
- 185Victor Rios
- 198Carlos Cruz
- 211Israel Larios
- 216Paulo Barbosa
Previous Toluca Lineups
Previous Atlas Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Toluca Injury Table
Atlas Injury Table
Liga MX Table
2025/2026 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | América | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Pumas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Juárez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | León | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Mazatlán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Querétaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | San Luis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | Guadalajara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | América | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | Pumas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | Cruz Azul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Juárez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | León | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | Mazatlán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Querétaro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
17 | Tijuana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
18 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
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